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MC

MONARCH CASINO & RESORT INC (MCRI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Operationally strong quarter: net revenue $134.513M and Adjusted EBITDA $47.280M, with a record Q4 EBITDA margin of 35.1% .
  • Subsequent event materially reduced GAAP earnings due to the PCL litigation judgment: Q4 net income adjusted to $4.211M and diluted EPS to $0.22; Adjusted EBITDA was not impacted .
  • Liquidity remains solid with $58.8M cash and no borrowings on the credit facility; the Board declared a $0.30 quarterly dividend payable March 15, 2025 as part of the annual $1.20 dividend program .
  • Management reaffirmed strategic priorities: Black Hawk market share gains, Atlantis room renovations targeted for completion by Q2 2025, and ongoing evaluation of M&A opportunities .
  • Catalyst: the court judgment and subsequent appeal plan, plus the EPS reset, are likely to drive stock narrative despite strong operating metrics .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record Q4 operating margin performance: “Fourth quarter net revenue and adjusted EBITDA were $134.5 million and $47.3 million, respectively, resulting in a record fourth quarter EBITDA margin of 35.1%.” — John Farahi, CEO .
  • Black Hawk execution: “Monarch Black Hawk continues to grow market share and increase revenue across all its business segments… attract and retain mid-to-upper tier guests from the Denver and Boulder metro areas.” .
  • Atlantis upgrades nearing completion and brand refresh: ~$100M room redesign; final 246 rooms to be completed in phases by Q2 2025 and new “Once is All it Takes” campaign; focus on technologies/processes to enhance long-term returns .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP earnings reset post-judgment: Q4 net income reduced to $4.211M and diluted EPS to $0.22 following the $74.6M court judgment against Monarch; the company recorded a $27.619M loss on litigation and adjusted accounts payable; Adjusted EBITDA unchanged .
  • Cost pressures: Casino operating expense ratio rose to 36.8% (labor and technology), and F&B operating expense ratio increased to 73.4% (cost of goods sold) .
  • Higher depreciation: $13.365M in Q4 vs $12.142M a year ago, diluting GAAP earnings power despite strong EBITDA .

Financial Results

Quarterly progression (oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024 (Adjusted)
Net Revenue ($USD Thousands)128,143 137,873 134,513
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Thousands)43,923 50,643 47,280
EBITDA Margin %34.3% 36.7% 35.1%
Net Income ($USD Thousands)22,682 27,601 4,211
Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.19 $1.47 $0.22

Year-over-year (Q4 2023 → Q4 2024 adjusted)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024 (Adjusted)
Net Revenue ($USD Thousands)128,186 134,513
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Thousands)43,003 47,280
Net Income ($USD Thousands)18,202 4,211
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.93 $0.22

Segment revenue (Q4 2023 → Q4 2024) and YoY change

SegmentQ4 2023 ($USD Thousands)Q4 2024 ($USD Thousands)YoY Change (%)
Casino72,714 77,093 +6.0%
Food & Beverage32,816 32,581 -0.7%
Hotel16,813 18,210 +8.3%
Other5,843 6,629 n/a

KPIs and Operating/Liquidity (Q2 → Q4)

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
SG&A Expense ($USD Thousands)26,198 27,177 27,837
SG&A as % Net Revenue20.4% 19.7% 20.7%
Casino OpEx % of Casino Rev37.7% 36.3% 36.8%
F&B OpEx % of F&B Rev73.8% 72.8% 73.4%
Hotel OpEx % of Hotel Rev33.5% 33.8% 34.8%
CapEx ($USD Thousands)12,800 3,800 10,700
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Thousands)33,508 39,380 58,760
Credit Facility Borrowings ($USD Thousands)23,000 7,000 0
Dividend per Share$0.30 $0.30 $0.30

Notes and drivers:

  • Q4 effective tax rate was 19.7% vs 28.6% in Q4 2023, contributing positively to the initially reported GAAP EPS; lower legal/consulting costs ($0.1M vs $2.8M) were a tailwind, partially offset by higher depreciation ($13.4M vs $12.1M). Subsequent litigation adjustment superseded the GAAP EPS/NI figures .
  • Q4 cash increased and debt was fully repaid, supporting dividend continuity and optionality for investments .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quarterly Dividend2024 program; Q1 2025 paymentAnnual $1.20 per share in quarterly payments (ongoing) $0.30 dividend payable Mar 15, 2025; part of annual $1.20 program Maintained
Atlantis RenovationsThrough Q2 2025“All 817 rooms and suites redesigned and upgraded by end of Q2 2025” Remaining 246 rooms to be completed in phases by Q2 2025 Maintained timeline
Strategic M&A EvaluationOngoingDiligently evaluating potential M&A transactions Continued evaluation of potential M&A transactions Maintained

No quantitative revenue/EPS/OpEx guidance was provided in the Q4 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2/Q3)Current Period (Q4)Trend
Labor cost pressureCasino OpEx ratio up on labor in Q2/Q3 (37.7% / 36.3%) Casino OpEx ratio 36.8% on labor/technology Persistent/elevated
F&B cost of goods soldF&B OpEx ratio high in Q2/Q3 (73.8% / 72.8%) F&B OpEx 73.4% on cost of goods sold Elevated
Hotel cost management / ADRHotel OpEx ratio down Q2/Q3 (33.5% / 33.8%) Hotel OpEx ratio 34.8%; improved vs prior year; ADR up Stable yoy improvement
Black Hawk share gainsStrong growth and appeal highlighted in Q2/Q3 Continued market share growth; premier resort positioning Improving
Atlantis competitiveness/upgradesOngoing investment in room upgrades (Q2/Q3) Final rooms by Q2 2025; new brand campaign; tech/process focus Progressing
Litigation (PCL)Ongoing; lower legal costs; awaiting decision (Q2/Q3) Post-judgment loss recognized; EPS reset; appeal planned Negative development

Note: An earnings call transcript for Q4 2024 was not available in our document catalog; themes above are synthesized from press releases and 8-Ks .

Management Commentary

  • “Monarch ended 2024 with record financial results in both the fourth quarter and full year… record fourth quarter EBITDA margin of 35.1%.” — John Farahi, CEO .
  • “Monarch Black Hawk continues to grow market share and increase revenue across all its business segments… luxury resort offerings and exceptional service continue to attract and retain mid-to-upper tier guests.” .
  • “Atlantis is near the completion of approximately $100 million in capital investment… last stage… completed in phases by the second quarter of 2025… launching a ‘Once is All it Takes’ brand campaign… implementing new technologies and processes… financially rewarding over the long-term.” .
  • Capital allocation and balance sheet: $58.8M cash, no borrowings; $0.30 quarterly dividend; continued M&A evaluation .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was not available in our catalog; Q&A details could not be assessed .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable at the time of retrieval due to API request limits; comparison to Street estimates cannot be provided.
  • Given the Type I subsequent event recognition of the litigation judgment in the 2024 Form 10-K, reported Q4 GAAP EPS and net income changed materially post-release; Adjusted EBITDA was unchanged, which is the more relevant operating metric for gaming sector comparisons .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong operations: net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA indicate healthy demand and operational execution; Q4 EBITDA margin reached a record 35.1% .
  • Litigation dominates GAAP optics: the judgment-induced loss resets Q4 GAAP EPS to $0.22; monitor appeal timeline, potential fees/costs, and cash implications; note Adjusted EBITDA unaffected .
  • Balance sheet optionality: $58.8M cash, no facility borrowings, sustained $0.30 quarterly dividend underpin capital returns while funding property investments .
  • Property-level drivers: Black Hawk continues to gain share; Atlantis upgrades and brand campaign are near-term catalysts for Reno competitiveness by Q2 2025 .
  • Cost structure watch: labor and F&B costs remain elevated; hotel expense ratio improved vs prior year on ADR and cost management—sustainability will be key in 2025 .
  • No formal financial guidance: lack of revenue/EPS guidance shifts focus to execution metrics (EBITDA, margins, capex progress) and litigation resolution .
  • Near-term trading lens: expect stock narrative to center on litigation overhang vs resilient operations and dividend continuity; updates on the appeal and any cash requirements could be pivotal .